Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.190359 0.204810 0.220050 0.237356 0.256511 0.277117 0.301029
2025-12-28 0.167476 0.188668 0.212432 0.241236 0.275447 0.315087 0.364939
2026-01-04 0.152530 0.177471 0.206691 0.243838 0.290364 0.347477 0.424106
2026-01-11 0.140671 0.167782 0.200642 0.244022 0.300743 0.373785 0.477351
2026-01-18 0.129271 0.157214 0.192002 0.239342 0.303459 0.389392 0.517133
2026-01-25 0.119063 0.147126 0.182847 0.232706 0.302281 0.398806 0.548396
2026-02-01 0.111338 0.139567 0.176225 0.228595 0.303722 0.411392 0.585058
2026-02-08 0.104281 0.132351 0.169441 0.223519 0.303027 0.420358 0.616671
2026-02-15 0.098589 0.126572 0.164151 0.220000 0.304051 0.431630 0.652882
2026-02-22 0.095492 0.124107 0.163207 0.222533 0.314128 0.457565 0.716596
2026-03-01 0.091518 0.120169 0.159895 0.221241 0.318054 0.473835 0.765423
2026-03-08 0.087656 0.116168 0.156228 0.219090 0.320318 0.487377 0.810867
2026-03-15 0.083062 0.111000 0.150724 0.213975 0.317733 0.493031 0.843489
2026-03-22 0.081411 0.110009 0.151326 0.218424 0.331307 0.528303 0.940219
2026-03-29 0.079355 0.108301 0.150727 0.220864 0.341623 0.558800 1.032644
2026-04-05 0.076896 0.105859 0.148849 0.221049 0.347953 0.582472 1.114597
2026-04-12 0.073597 0.101998 0.144567 0.216945 0.346243 0.590405 1.162209
2026-04-19 0.070127 0.097734 0.139450 0.211116 0.340910 0.590573 1.191475
2026-04-26 0.067382 0.094471 0.135765 0.207500 0.339370 0.598196 1.240345
2026-05-03 0.064623 0.091081 0.131726 0.203033 0.335869 0.601371 1.278548
2026-05-10 0.062322 0.088318 0.128574 0.199934 0.334735 0.609397 1.331039
2026-05-17 0.061257 0.087450 0.128454 0.202165 0.344100 0.641100 1.454708
2026-05-24 0.059574 0.085537 0.126526 0.201027 0.346670 0.657993 1.540312